Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as an unreliable friend. At their brilliant best, they can be the very thrill-seekers, unleashing breathtaking displays. But, at other times, once-dependable individuals like their midfield linchpin and others completely fail to appear.
Compounding this issue is a late-game game management riddled with a pronounced element of panic. Before their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the numbers reveal a sobering picture: they have dropped thirteen crucial top-flight leverage from leading positions this term and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight matches in every tournament. Securing a win at their famous stadium would represent only their second league success on the road this year.
In contrast, a loss has been tasted once in their last six Premier League encounters, and despite sitting in a modest 11th position, they remain a only six marks away from the highly-prized top four. Add in an upcoming two-legged League Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a reasonable opportunity of moving on to the Champions League knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to see the gaffer's guarded positivity.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” said the team's manager. “You can see strengths too. The perspective here is firmly half full currently. I realize everybody else could have a divergent take, but in my view we're making progress.”
The puzzle remains: will this group recapture – or even eclipse – the achievements of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a packed calendar complicates.
The resulting tiredness might be the reason behind the inability to maintain a stellar first-half performance versus Chelsea, eventually surrendering a two-goal lead to tie 2-2. Similarly, it could be the culprit for a poor performance in a painful loss to local rivals Sunderland, where the team seemed lethargic just a short time after a demanding Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly the manager's specialty, the constant grind of two games a week matches has radically cut into valuable coaching time. This impedes the squad's stylistic adjustment to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the departed their former star. Although extremely talented, the German forward has not shown the equivalent searing counter-attacking pace or ferocious pressing.
In fact, the team's once-formidable pressing game has sporadically malfunctioned. Fitness issues to crucial component Joelinton have exacerbated matters, while expensive arrivals Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have had difficulties settling after their combined £90m+ moves.
While a change to a back three might theoretically benefit the cause, a full-blown backline injury list makes that problematic. Important defenders will be unavailable for the upcoming crucial fixtures, further testing the squad's depth.
When playing at their energetic best, they appear virtually unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that level for the entire match. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has at times been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match became anarchic at 2-2,” conceded the manager. “But we were going for the victory. We always try to secure the three points.”
What appears necessary is a balanced approach – with superior possession retention, a engine room adept of slowing the pace, and a pragmatic readiness to occasionally accept a point. However, a determination to challenge on all competitions is testing finite squad resources to their limit.
This might sound unthinkable to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the current fixture congestion. Amid vital European & league games on the horizon, the necessity to strategically prioritize is growing increasingly clear.
The manager acknowledged the size of the challenge ahead. “Being at a club of this size, the pressures are big. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup semi-finals, we aim to go through in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have lots of improvement to do to transform into the regularly winning team we want to be. The ability to string together winning runs has eluded us so far.
“The objective is to hit those heights we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the assurance we can achieve it is returning. Yet now we have to demonstrate it. It's not all doom and gloom right now, but the next few weeks will shape a lot.”
Elena Marchetti is a technology journalist with a passion for demystifying complex topics. She has been covering tech trends for over a decade.